The next 30 years?

The change to a new year is always an interesting time to look back – and to look forward, make new plans, declare new resolutions and generally make changes where we feel they will help us be more effective and/or fulfilled in our lives.

When the midnight hour on 31 December was reached and we transferred into a new year this time it was more than simply a new year – it marked the start of a new decade! The third in our current century!

Holidaying with my family and six grandchildren, this was a time to consider seriously what the world might be like for them as they grow into adulthood later in the century. Over the period of time we were camping together (without internet and other distractions) we took time to talk about the many issues facing us in the world today – prompted in no small way by the constant updates about the fires burning across Australia, and more recently, the news of increasing tensions between the US and Iran following the drone attack on one of Iran’s top generals.

A lot of what we discussed is featured in the video at the top of this post which has been informed by much of what appears on the Kaspersky Earth2050 website which is why I’ve included it here – a reminder of the rapidly changing world that will be the reality for my grandchildren and others in their generation.

On my holiday I read “The Uninhabitable Earth” by David Wallace-Wells in which he paints a rather pessimistic picture of the world that lies ahead of us – including drought, floods, wildfires, economic crises, political instability, the collapse of the myth of progress. Wallace-Wells identifies a tendency, even among those of us who think we are already sufficiently informed about (and perhaps terrified by) the future, to be strangely complacent about the figures. This book doesn’t focus on solutions so much as emphasise the scale of the problem and the horror of its effects.

I believe that it’s vitally important that we engage critically in thinking about the issues posed by our future world – not simply become ‘alarmist’ or despairing. I tend to be an optimist by nature, so am always looking for the positive things that can be done – but I am also a realist about the consequences of doing nothing. I am a part of the generation that has created so much of this uncertainty – and sadly, the same generation that has demonstrated a decided lack of ability to look past our self-interest enough to begin doing anything about it. If the complex issues we face are to be resolved then it will be up to us (a) to at least initiate some changes NOW so that the impact can be realised into the future, and (b) to ensure we prepare our young people with the skills, knowledge and capabilities to engage meaningfully together in committing to finding and implementing solutions.

To reinforce my optimism (and to balance the perspectives in Wallace-Wells’ book) I read “This Could Be Our Future“, but Yancey Strickler – co-founder of Kickstarter. It’s possibly the most profoundly ‘hopeful’ book I’ve read for a while. Strickler claims that Western society is trapped by three assumptions- 1) the point of life is to maximize your self-interest and wealth, 2) we’re individuals trapped in an adversarial world, and 3) that this path is inevitable. He proposes that these ideas separate us, keep us powerless, and limit our imagination for the future. We see these things as the “truth”, but they are just a point of view that previous generations accepted as inevitable.

What I appreciated about Strickler’s approach is that he doesn’t attempt to simply point to solutions for each of the problems we face – he proposes a more radical change to the way we exist as a society, beginning with examining the many ways our value system has narrowed into a money-obsessed condition – something he refers to as ‘financial maximisation’. Strickler argues that we need to be working towards encompassing a much broader definition of value.

I don’t intend to reveal more of what intrigued me about Strickler’s writings here – I’d encourage you to read the whole book yourself – but in concluding this post, I would draw from Strickler’s final chapter in which he provides evidence that any real, meaningful change takes 30 years to achieve.

The message here is clear – once we’ve become convinced of the need to change, we can’t expect it simply to happen overnight – and 30 years seems to be the length of time it will take. Thus the focus on 2050 for this post, because that’s when any change we begin to make now will (hopefully) be fully implemented.

So back to the Uninhabitable Earth – if it’s going to take 30 years to achieve this change we have to start now! We simply can’t procrastinate any longer – putting the interests of ‘financial maximisation’ ahead of actions that may actually serve the future better.

For those of use involved in education, the message is also clear. We’ve got to look long and hard at what we see as being important in our curriculum, the ways we think about ‘success’ and how we promote the values that go beyond the ambition of maximising self-interest and wealth. The beginning of a new school year provides the ideal time for engaging in such discussions – with your staff, your kids and your community. Will any of this be a focus of your teacher only day?

By wenmothd

Derek is regarded as one of NZ education’s foremost Future Focused thinkers, and is regularly asked to consult with schools, policy makers and government agencies regarding the future directions of NZ educational policy and practice.

Leave a Reply

What others say

The Learning Environments Australasia Executive Committee  has received a lot of positive feedback, which is greatly due to your wealth of knowledge and information you imparted on our large audience, your presentation has inspired a range of educators, architects and facility planners and for this we are grateful.

Daniel Smith Chair Learning Environments Australasia

Derek and Maurie complement each other well and have the same drive and passion for a future education system that is so worthwhile being part of. Their presentation and facilitation is at the same time friendly and personal while still incredibly professional. I am truly grateful to have had this experience alongside amazing passionate educators and am inspired to re visit all aspects of my leadership. I have a renewed passion for our work as educational leaders.

Karyn Gray Principal, Raphael House Rudolf Steiner

I was in desperate need of a programme like this. This gave me the opportunity to participate in a transformative journey of professional learning and wellbeing, where I rediscovered my passion, reignited my purpose, and reconnected with my vision for leading in education. Together, we got to nurture not just academic excellence, but also the holistic wellbeing of our school communities. Because when we thrive, so does the entire educational ecosystem.

Tara Quinney Principal, St Peter's College, Gore

Refresh, Reconnect, Refocus is the perfect title for this professional development. It does just that. A fantastic retreat, space to think, relax and start to reconnect. Derek and Maurie deliver a balance of knowledge and questioning that gives you time to think about your leadership and where to next. Both facilitators have the experience, understanding, connection and passion for education, this has inspired me to really look at the why for me!

Jan McDonald Principal, Birkdale North School

Engaged, passionate, well informed facilitators who seamlessly worked together to deliver and outstanding programme of thought provoking leadership learning.

Dyane Stokes Principal, Paparoa Street School

A useful and timely call to action. A great chance to slow down, reflect on what really drives you, and refocus on how to get there. Wonderful conversations, great connections, positive pathways forward.

Ursula Cunningham Principal, Amesbury School

RRR is a standout for quality professional learning for Principals. Having been an education PLD junkie for 40 years I have never before attended a programme that has challenged me as much because of its rigor, has satisfied me as much because of its depth or excited me as much because of realising my capacity to lead change. Derek and Maurie are truly inspiring pedagogical, authentic leadership experts who generously and expertly share their passion, wisdom and skills to help Principal's to focus on what is important in schools and be the best leader they can be.

Cindy Sullivan Principal, Kaipara College

Derek Wenmoth is brilliant. Derek connects powerful ideas forecasting the future of learning to re-imagine education and create resources for future-focused practices and policies to drive change. His work provides guidance and tools for shifting to new learning ecosystems through innovations with a focus on purpose, equity, learner agency, and lifelong learning. His work is comprehensive and brings together research and best practices to advance the future of teaching and learning.  His passion, commitment to innovation for equity and the range of practical, policy and strategic advice are exceptional.

Susan Patrick, CEO, Aurora Institute

I asked Derek to work with our teachers to reenergise our team back into our journey towards our vision after the two years of being in and out of 'Covid-ness'.  Teachers reported positively about the day with Derek, commenting on how affirmed they felt that our vision is future focused.  Teachers expressed excitement with their new learning towards the vision, and I've noticed a palpable energy since the day.  Derek also started preparing our thinking for hybrid learning, helping us all to feel a sense of creativity rather than uncertainty.  The leadership team is keen to see him return!

Kate Christie | Principal | Cashmere Ave School

Derek has supported, informed and inspired a core group of our teachers to be effective leads in our college for NPDL. Derek’s PLD is expertly targeted to our needs.

Marion Lumley | Deputy Principal |Ōtaki College

What a task we set Derek -  to facilitate a shared vision and strategy with our Board and the professional and admin teams (14 of us), during a Covid lockdown, using online technology. Derek’s expertise, skilled questioning, strategic facilitation and humour enabled us to work with creative energy for 6 hours using a range of well-timed online activities. He kept us focussed on creating and achieving a shared understanding of our future strategic plan.  Derek’s future focussed skills combined with an understanding of strategy and the education sector made our follow up conversations invaluable.  Furthermore, we will definitely look to engage Derek for future strategic planning work.

Sue Vaealiki, Chair of Stonefields Collaborative Trust 

Our Principal PLG has worked with Derek several times now, and will continue to do so. Derek is essentially a master facilitator/mentor...bringing the right level of challenge, new ideas & research to deepen your thinking, but it comes with the level of support needed to feel engaged, enriched and empowered after working with him.

Gareth Sinton, Principal, Douglas Park School

Derek is a highly knowledgeable and inspirational professional learning provider that has been guiding our staff in the development of New Pedagogies’ for Deep Learning. His ability to gauge where staff are at and use this to guide next steps has been critical in seeing staff buy into this processes and have a strong desire to build in their professional practice.

Andy Fraser, Principal, Otaki College